沙田 · 2024-01-21 · 07:40
第 6場
2024-01-21沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、M Newnham訓練的MASSIVE TALENT勝出，贏出1。GENEVA獲得亞軍；SUPER GOLDI獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門GENEVA跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT CP/TT1 1.10.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GENEVA H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER GOLDI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GANGNAM STAR TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | PO ON WAY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 5 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | GO HERO H1 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 106.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | EVER VICTORIOUS XB1/TT- C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 77.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | PINGWU SPARKLE B/TT J McDonald · T P Yung | J McDonald | T P Yung | 14 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 13 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE B1/TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 7 | 162.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HANDSOME BOMB C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | COMPASSION SUPER M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GENEVA | 31.5% | 3.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER GOLDI | 15.8% | 6.31 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER | 8.5% | 11.74 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 7.6% | 13.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | GANGNAM STAR | 7.4% | 13.55 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | PINGWU SPARKLE | 6.8% | 14.72 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 4.5% | 22.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE | 4.3% | 23.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT | 3.7% | 27.34 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | PO ON WAY | 3.1% | 32.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.44 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | EVER VICTORIOUS | 2.0% | 51.24 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | GO HERO | 1.7% | 58.26 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 116
PLACE
1 22.5
3 10.1
11 26.5
QUINELLA
3,11 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 33
1,11 153.5
3,11 49
FORECAST
11,3 376
TIERCE
11,3,1 2,603
TRIO
1,3,11 317
FIRST 4
1,3,11,14 242
QUARTET
11,3,1,14 8,756
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,11>3,9 206,189
5TH DOUBLE
3/3,9 26.5
3/11 1,378
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,12/3,10,11/Any Combination 283,522