沙田 · 2024-01-21 · 10:05
第 10場
2024-01-21沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的STORM RIDER勝出，贏出1-1/4。THE HEIR獲得亞軍；SILVER UP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | STORM RIDER 後段發力 1.22.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | THE HEIR 後段發力 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SILVER UP 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL 後段發力 PC L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 5 | 130.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ZOOM BOOM 後段發力 XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | LOST CHILD 後段發力 B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MIDORI BURLY 後段發力 XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | D STAR 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 12 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | BONUS PAL B K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 4 | 239.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | RAGNARR Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 6 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL 早段領放 TT E C W Wong · D J Hall | E C W Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | STORM RIDER | 36.8% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | THE HEIR | 19.1% | 5.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | ENDEARED | 7.6% | 13.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | LOST CHILD | 6.8% | 14.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL | 6.3% | 15.94 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | MIDORI BURLY | 5.1% | 19.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.71 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | D STAR | 3.1% | 32.78 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | SILVER UP | 2.6% | 38.33 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | ZOOM BOOM | 2.6% | 38.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.1% | 48.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 1.8% | 55.49 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | RAGNARR | 1.2% | 84.75 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | BONUS PAL | 0.4% | 263.10 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 26
PLACE
2 14
5 38.5
13 13
QUINELLA
2,13 49
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 111.5
2,13 20.5
5,13 126.5
FORECAST
13,2 69
TIERCE
13,2,5 785
TRIO
2,5,13 247
FIRST 4
2,5,12,13 279
QUARTET
13,2,5,12 3,468
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
10/12/2 3,693
10/12/13 11,435
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/2,5,13 26,506
9TH DOUBLE
12/2 41
12/13 130
SIX UP
3,10/3,9,11/2,5/5,10/11,12/2,13 1,519
3/11/2/10/12/13 5,274,402
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —