沙田 · 2024-01-21 · 06:40
第 4場
2024-01-21沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、D A Hayes訓練的RUBYLOT勝出，贏出N。MIDORI BEAUTY獲得亞軍；SPEEDY FORTUNE獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門FUN ELITE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUBYLOT CP- 0.57.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.4 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 13 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SPEEDY FORTUNE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | JAZZ CLUB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 100.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY TRUST TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 1.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 11 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | HO HO STAR B1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PANDA B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 8.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | HAYDAY H/P/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | GLORY B H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 143.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 48.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | SAME TO YOU H/P1 K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 1 | 195.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | RISE COMPANIONS J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FUN ELITE | 21.4% | 4.67 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | RUBYLOT | 21.0% | 4.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY TRUST | 11.6% | 8.60 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER | 10.3% | 9.71 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 8.1% | 12.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | PANDA | 7.5% | 13.35 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 4.7% | 21.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.0% | 33.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM | 2.8% | 36.13 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | JAZZ CLUB | 2.7% | 37.35 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | HO HO STAR | 2.5% | 40.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | HAYDAY | 2.3% | 43.45 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | GLORY B | 1.4% | 70.99 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | SAME TO YOU | 0.7% | 134.32 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 74
PLACE
1 64
4 20
12 15
QUINELLA
1,4 1,269.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 273.5
1,12 215
4,12 56.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,677
TIERCE
4,1,12 16,239
TRIO
1,4,12 1,683
FIRST 4
1,4,12,14 21,151
QUARTET
4,1,12,14 335,062
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/1,4,12 13,002
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 120
2/4 126