沙田 · 2024-01-21 · 05:05
第 1場
2024-01-21沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的RATTAN WORLD勝出，贏出SH。SWEET DIAMOND獲得亞軍；MILLENNIUM FALCON獲得季軍。6.1倍大熱門MILLENNIUM FALCON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RATTAN WORLD PC-/B2/TT 1.10.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 6.8 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GREAT DAYS P-/H/XB/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | FIGHTING STAR B B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 13 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 5 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP-/B1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CASA LEGEND XB-/B/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 12 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CHOICERUS B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | DASHING GLORY B-/H1/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED B-/XB/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | ALL IS READY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RATTAN WORLD | 15.9% | 6.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | NORDIC COMBINED | 12.2% | 8.21 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY | 9.2% | 10.82 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | ALL IS READY | 9.1% | 11.00 | 14 |
| 5 | 12 | GREAT DAYS | 7.8% | 12.79 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | CASA LEGEND | 7.7% | 12.98 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND | 7.6% | 13.08 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | CHOICERUS | 6.5% | 15.33 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | FIGHTING STAR | 5.1% | 19.75 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 5.0% | 19.80 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.3% | 23.51 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED | 3.5% | 28.72 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | DASHING GLORY | 3.4% | 29.40 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 2.7% | 37.06 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 68.5
PLACE
5 27.5
7 26
14 25
QUINELLA
5,7 297
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 109
5,14 130.5
7,14 88.5
FORECAST
7,5 496
TIERCE
7,5,14 4,877
TRIO
5,7,14 796
FIRST 4
5,7,12,14 2,638
QUARTET
7,5,14,12 46,803