Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STORM RIDER Closed strongly 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HEIR Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SILVER UP Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL Closed strongly PC L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 5 | 130.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | D STAR Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 12 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BONUS PAL B K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 4 | 239.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RAGNARR Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 6 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HONG KONG HALL Led early TT E C W Wong · D J Hall | E C W Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STORM RIDER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with THE HEIR second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STORM RIDER | 36.8% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HEIR | 19.1% | 5.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ENDEARED | 7.6% | 13.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOST CHILD | 6.8% | 14.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | HONG KONG HALL | 6.3% | 15.94 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | MIDORI BURLY | 5.1% | 19.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.71 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | D STAR | 3.1% | 32.78 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER UP | 2.6% | 38.33 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM | 2.6% | 38.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.1% | 48.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL | 1.8% | 55.49 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | RAGNARR | 1.2% | 84.75 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | BONUS PAL | 0.4% | 263.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 26
PLACE
2 14
5 38.5
13 13
QUINELLA
2,13 49
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 111.5
2,13 20.5
5,13 126.5
FORECAST
13,2 69
TIERCE
13,2,5 785
TRIO
2,5,13 247
FIRST 4
2,5,12,13 279
QUARTET
13,2,5,12 3,468
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
10/12/2 3,693
10/12/13 11,435
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/2,5,13 26,506
9TH DOUBLE
12/2 41
12/13 130
SIX UP
3,10/3,9,11/2,5/5,10/11,12/2,13 1,519
3/11/2/10/12/13 5,274,402
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —