Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY ETERNAL second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.33.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early CP1/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 81.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR SR A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 6 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 49.0 | 23-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 32.0% | 3.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 24.2% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 20.1% | 4.97 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 5.6% | 17.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY | 5.6% | 17.85 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 4.9% | 20.56 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 4.4% | 22.76 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.61 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 19
PLACE
2 12
5 11
6 21
QUINELLA
2,5 31.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 16
2,6 32
5,6 39.5
FORECAST
2,5 59
TIERCE
2,5,6 185
TRIO
2,5,6 61
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 49
QUARTET
2,5,6,1 455
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
11/2 272.5
11/5 93.5