Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 05:40
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN RISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with RIVER VIEWS second and FIGHT TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLDEN RISE Closed strongly 1.22.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B1/TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 102.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | NISHIKADO B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 14 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FAST VICTORY Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 135.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GALVANIC TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 12 | 189.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUNNY SHINES A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 244.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | BULB PRINCE H2/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 85.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE CHISWICK A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | NATURAL GOLD XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLDEN RISE | 32.0% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | GALVANIC | 10.2% | 9.77 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE | 7.6% | 13.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 7.5% | 13.26 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | FIGHT TIME | 7.4% | 13.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 7.2% | 13.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | CHARITY BINGO | 6.1% | 16.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | NISHIKADO | 4.6% | 21.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | BULB PRINCE | 2.4% | 41.59 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK | 1.9% | 53.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SUNNY SHINES | 0.8% | 132.04 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | FAST VICTORY | 0.5% | 203.59 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 22.5
PLACE
5 180
7 11.5
9 24.5
QUINELLA
7,9 92
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 290.5
5,9 791.5
7,9 38.5
FORECAST
7,9 144
TIERCE
7,9,5 4,726
TRIO
5,7,9 1,941
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 1,219
QUARTET
7,9,5,6 22,412
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/7 159.5
7/9 113
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,14/5,7,9 144,965