Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN RISE Closed strongly 1.22.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 2 2.2 1-1/2
2 0 RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung 5 10.0 1-1/2
3 0 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B1/TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall 1 102.0 2-3/4
4 0 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 3.6 3
5 0 DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 6 13.0 3-1/4
6 0 NISHIKADO B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 4 34.0 3-3/4
7 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT H Bowman · K L Man 14 10.0 3-3/4
8 0 FAST VICTORY Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes 8 135.0 4-1/2
9 0 CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly J McDonald · C S Shum 10 15.0 6-1/4
10 0 GALVANIC TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 13.0 7-1/4
11 0 AMAZINGTEAMWORK Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W K Mo 12 189.0 8-3/4
12 0 SUNNY SHINES A Atzeni · P C Ng 13 244.0 10-3/4
13 0 BULB PRINCE H2/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 85.0 15-1/2
— 0 NATURAL GOLD XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 11 44.0 —
— 0 PRINCE CHISWICK A Badel · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN RISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with RIVER VIEWS second and FIGHT TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN RISE—2. RIVER VIEWS+1.5L3. FIGHT TIME+2.75L4. CALIFORNIATOTALITY+3L5. DEVAS TWELVE+3.25L6. NISHIKADO+3.75L7. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+3.75L8. FAST VICTORY+4.5L9. CHARITY BINGO+6.25L10. GALVANIC+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GOLDEN RISE (32.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN RISE 32.0% 3.13 1
2 0 RIVER VIEWS 11.8% 8.47 2
3 0 GALVANIC 10.2% 9.77 10
4 0 DEVAS TWELVE 7.6% 13.14 5
5 0 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 7.5% 13.26 4
6 0 FIGHT TIME 7.4% 13.44 3
7 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 7.2% 13.93 7
8 0 CHARITY BINGO 6.1% 16.35 9
9 0 NISHIKADO 4.6% 21.86 6
10 0 BULB PRINCE 2.4% 41.59 13
11 0 AMAZINGTEAMWORK 1.9% 53.22 11
12 0 SUNNY SHINES 0.8% 132.04 12
13 0 FAST VICTORY 0.5% 203.59 8
GOLDEN RISE — wonRIVER VIEWSGALVANICDEVAS TWELVECALIFORNIATOTALITYFIGHT TIMECIRCUIT MIGHTYCHARITY BINGONISHIKADOBULB PRINCEAMAZINGTEAMWORKSUNNY SHINESFAST VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 22.5

PLACE

5 180

7 11.5

9 24.5

QUINELLA

7,9 92

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 290.5

5,9 791.5

7,9 38.5

FORECAST

7,9 144

TIERCE

7,9,5 4,726

TRIO

5,7,9 1,941

FIRST 4

5,6,7,9 1,219

QUARTET

7,9,5,6 22,412

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/7 159.5

7/9 113

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,14/5,7,9 144,965