Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MUGEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with SUPERB BOY second and ATULLIBIGEAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite DANCING CODE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MUGEN Closed strongly 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPERB BOY Closed strongly TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 9 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR-/XB/CP1 Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 6 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EASON V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 112.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | BRAVEHEARTS XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 159.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SAUVESTRE TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 12 | 75.0 | 23-1/4 |
| — | 10 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MUGEN | 17.4% | 5.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 14.4% | 6.96 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | DANCING CODE | 13.7% | 7.31 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPERB BOY | 13.5% | 7.39 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 9.2% | 10.89 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | SAUVESTRE | 6.2% | 16.00 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | RED LION | 5.3% | 18.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | EASON | 2.4% | 41.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | BRAVEHEARTS | 0.9% | 108.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 42.5
PLACE
6 25
11 39.5
12 16
QUINELLA
11,12 304
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 143.5
6,12 71
11,12 95
FORECAST
12,11 497
TIERCE
12,11,6 3,121
TRIO
6,11,12 791
FIRST 4
6,7,11,12 630
QUARTET
12,11,6,7 14,422
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
10/11 1,083
10/12 3,711.5