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Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 17:19

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MUGEN Closed strongly 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng 10 4.2 2
2 0 SUPERB BOY Closed strongly TT A Badel · K W Lui 2 13.0 2
3 0 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 5 7.5 2
4 0 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 1 3.8 2-3/4
5 0 RED LION H Bowman · J Size 7 21.0 3-1/2
6 0 HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size 9 9.8 4-1/4
7 0 DROMBEG BANNER A Atzeni · P C Ng 8 10.0 5
8 0 FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR-/XB/CP1 Y L Chung · D J Whyte 6 22.0 6-1/4
9 0 EASON V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 4 112.0 7
10 0 BRAVEHEARTS XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 11 159.0 12
11 0 SAUVESTRE TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 12 75.0 23-1/4
— 0 GLOBAL HARMONY CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes 3 5.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MUGEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with SUPERB BOY second and ATULLIBIGEAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite DANCING CODE finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MUGEN—2. SUPERB BOY+2L3. ATULLIBIGEAL+2L4. DANCING CODE+2.75L5. RED LION+3.5L6. HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE+4.25L7. DROMBEG BANNER+5L8. FLAMING RABBIT+6.25L9. EASON+7L10. BRAVEHEARTS+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MUGEN (17.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MUGEN 17.4% 5.74 1
2 0 ATULLIBIGEAL 14.4% 6.96 3
3 0 DANCING CODE 13.7% 7.31 4
4 0 SUPERB BOY 13.5% 7.39 2
5 0 HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 10.6% 9.45 6
6 0 DROMBEG BANNER 9.2% 10.89 7
7 0 FLAMING RABBIT 6.4% 15.74 8
8 0 SAUVESTRE 6.2% 16.00 11
9 0 RED LION 5.3% 18.94 5
10 0 EASON 2.4% 41.34 9
11 0 BRAVEHEARTS 0.9% 108.35 10
MUGEN — wonATULLIBIGEALDANCING CODESUPERB BOYHOWDEEPISYOURLOVEDROMBEG BANNERFLAMING RABBITSAUVESTRERED LIONEASONBRAVEHEARTS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 42.5

PLACE

6 25

11 39.5

12 16

QUINELLA

11,12 304

QUINELLA PLACE

6,11 143.5

6,12 71

11,12 95

FORECAST

12,11 497

TIERCE

12,11,6 3,121

TRIO

6,11,12 791

FIRST 4

6,7,11,12 630

QUARTET

12,11,6,7 14,422

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

10/11 1,083

10/12 3,711.5