Sha Tin · 2024-01-21 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-21 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WUNDERBAR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won by SH, with KA YING RISING second and READY TO WIN third. The 1.8 favourite KA YING RISING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WUNDERBAR 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | KA YING RISING Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 1.8 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ACE VICTORY TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 89.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 106.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | SOLAR PARTNER TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 5 | 43.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 26.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLAR UP B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 100.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | KYEEMA L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 27.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING | 43.4% | 2.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | WUNDERBAR | 31.0% | 3.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 6.1% | 16.28 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | SOLAR PARTNER | 4.7% | 21.36 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | READY TO WIN | 4.5% | 22.35 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | KYEEMA | 3.8% | 26.22 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | PARTERRE | 2.3% | 43.02 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.2% | 45.11 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLAR UP | 1.3% | 74.36 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ACE VICTORY | 0.6% | 171.52 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 10.5
4 10.1
8 44
QUINELLA
2,4 16
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 11.5
2,8 56.5
4,8 55
FORECAST
2,4 34
TIERCE
2,4,8 198
TRIO
2,4,8 79
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 337
QUARTET
2,4,8,9 1,854
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 56
7/4 10.5