沙田 · 2024-02-25 · 09:25
第 9場
2024-02-25沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的GORGEOUS WIN勝出，贏出3/4。BEAUTY MISSILE獲得亞軍；RUBYLOT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN TT 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 1.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 8 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | RUBYLOT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | ACE VICTORY TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 96.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 4 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | METRO WARRIOR CP H T Mo · D A Hayes | H T Mo | D A Hayes | 13 | 68.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RUN RAN RUN B1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 160.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PRAWNS ELEVEN M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CAMPIONE V-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING V1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 91.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN | 57.7% | 1.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | RUBYLOT | 14.6% | 6.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | ACE VICTORY | 6.1% | 16.45 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 5.4% | 18.37 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | PARTERRE | 2.9% | 34.12 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 2.4% | 41.37 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | METRO WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.31 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | CAMPIONE | 1.7% | 57.78 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING | 1.6% | 63.90 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 1.4% | 71.87 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | RUN RAN RUN | 1.2% | 80.77 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.1% | 90.69 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | PINS PRINCE | 1.1% | 92.37 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND | 0.5% | 187.59 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 16
PLACE
3 10.1
12 39
14 16
QUINELLA
3,12 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,12 48
3,14 18.5
12,14 81
FORECAST
3,12 166
TIERCE
3,12,14 539
TRIO
3,12,14 141
FIRST 4
3,7,12,14 265
QUARTET
3,12,14,7 3,563
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 516.5
2/12 1,171.5