沙田 · 2024-02-25 · 07:37
第 6場
2024-02-25沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的LOYAL BO BO勝出，贏出2-3/4。AEROINVINCIBLE獲得亞軍；JOY OF SPRING獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.6倍大熱門SMART FIGHTER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO 一路領先 SR 1.21.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | AEROINVINCIBLE 後段發力 SR1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SECOND TO NONE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 12 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | NINJA DERBY XB-/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 90.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | SNOWALOT 後段發力 B M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 6 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PANDA LEGEND TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 6.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BALLISTIC WIN C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | FOREMOST TEDDY 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 7 | 108.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING ROMANTIC Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 44.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | RAINBOW DELIGHT PC-/B1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 149.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | TOP SCORER Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER | 30.4% | 3.29 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SECOND TO NONE | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 10.8% | 9.22 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO | 7.9% | 12.64 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | PANDA LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | BALLISTIC WIN | 7.1% | 14.03 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | SNOWALOT | 5.5% | 18.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | CIRCUIT NINE | 5.1% | 19.53 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING | 4.9% | 20.24 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 3.7% | 26.70 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 2.8% | 36.06 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 1.6% | 63.75 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | NINJA DERBY | 1.4% | 69.43 | 7 |
| 14 | 9 | RAINBOW DELIGHT | 0.5% | 200.25 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 56.5
PLACE
3 37.5
6 44
12 22
QUINELLA
6,12 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 318
3,12 178.5
6,12 149.5
FORECAST
12,6 849
TIERCE
12,6,3 13,967
TRIO
3,6,12 2,847
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 4,966
QUARTET
12,6,3,1 120,391
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/3,6,12 97,808
5TH DOUBLE
7/6 65.5
7/12 457
TRIPLE TRIO
4,6,10/6,7,10/3,6,12 2,624,100
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,10/6,7,10/Any Combination 959