沙田 · 2024-02-25 · 10:00
第 10場
2024-02-25沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、J Size訓練的YOUNG CHAMPION勝出，贏出1。GREEN N WHITE獲得亞軍；AMAZING VICTORY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門AMAZING VICTORY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION 後段發力 1.22.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 8 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ CP/H/SR B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 5 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER 後段發力 CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 70.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS 後段發力 B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | LOST CHILD 後段發力 B2 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 PC/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 7 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SUGAR BALL 早段領放 CP/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 94.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 146.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V-/B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | SUMMIT IMPACT B1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 142.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS | 17.4% | 5.74 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN TOGETHER | 8.4% | 11.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 8.2% | 12.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 7.6% | 13.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | LOST CHILD | 3.1% | 31.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 2.7% | 37.50 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 2.6% | 38.70 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER | 2.4% | 41.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 2.1% | 48.62 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | SUMMIT IMPACT | 2.0% | 50.44 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | SUGAR BALL | 1.1% | 92.78 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS | 0.4% | 231.43 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 51
PLACE
3 19
4 18
5 17
QUINELLA
4,5 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 54
3,5 44.5
4,5 35.5
FORECAST
4,5 186
TIERCE
4,5,3 655
TRIO
3,4,5 126
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 248
QUARTET
4,5,3,9 5,195
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/3/4 2,726
2/3/5 309
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,12,14/3,4,5 2,654
9TH DOUBLE
3/4 74
3/5 11
SIX UP
6,7/6,12/1,2/2,3/3,12/4,5 1,300
7/12/1/2/3/4 163,871
2 [J McDonald] —
3 [P F Yiu] —