Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG CHAMPION, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won by 1, with GREEN N WHITE second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 8 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ CP/H/SR B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 5 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 70.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B2 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 7 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SUGAR BALL Led early CP/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 94.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 146.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V-/B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | SUMMIT IMPACT B1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 142.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS | 17.4% | 5.74 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN TOGETHER | 8.4% | 11.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 8.2% | 12.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 7.6% | 13.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | LOST CHILD | 3.1% | 31.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 2.7% | 37.50 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 2.6% | 38.70 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER | 2.4% | 41.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 2.1% | 48.62 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | SUMMIT IMPACT | 2.0% | 50.44 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | SUGAR BALL | 1.1% | 92.78 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS | 0.4% | 231.43 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 51
PLACE
3 19
4 18
5 17
QUINELLA
4,5 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 54
3,5 44.5
4,5 35.5
FORECAST
4,5 186
TIERCE
4,5,3 655
TRIO
3,4,5 126
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 248
QUARTET
4,5,3,9 5,195
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/3/4 2,726
2/3/5 309
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,12,14/3,4,5 2,654
9TH DOUBLE
3/4 74
3/5 11
SIX UP
6,7/6,12/1,2/2,3/3,12/4,5 1,300
7/12/1/2/3/4 163,871
2 [J McDonald] —
3 [P F Yiu] —