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Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 07:05

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CALL ME GLORIOUS, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with GENEVA second and SUNNY DA BEST third. The 2.9 favourite GENEVA finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS 1.09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 4.5 2
2 6 GENEVA H Bowman · D J Hall 6 2.9 2
3 10 SUNNY DA BEST TT1 Z Purton · W Y So 1 16.0 2-3/4
4 5 AWESOME TREASURE B-/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 11 9.0 3
5 13 SPICY GOLD L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 14.0 3-1/4
6 3 MUST GO P-/E/PC1/TT J McDonald · J Size 14 15.0 4-1/4
7 4 TELECOM DRAGON TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 2 5.3 4-1/2
8 11 TOP PEAK C L Chau · T P Yung 7 41.0 4-1/2
9 2 WAR OF COURAGE B K C Leung · K L Man 9 26.0 5
10 1 HOLY POWER XB-/B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 4 21.0 5
11 14 URBAN TRIUMPH CP/H1/TT K De Melo · W K Mo 5 173.0 5-3/4
12 8 GALE SAGA B1 A Atzeni · P C Ng 8 42.0 6-1/4
13 9 LINK SR1/XB1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte 12 139.0 7-1/4
14 12 HICKORY VICTORY B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 13 193.0 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME GLORIOUS2. GENEVA+2L3. SUNNY DA BEST+2.75L4. AWESOME TREASURE+3L5. SPICY GOLD+3.25L6. MUST GO+4.25L7. TELECOM DRAGON+4.5L8. TOP PEAK+4.5L9. WAR OF COURAGE+5L10. HOLY POWER+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GENEVA (26.7%) finished 2nd — the winner CALL ME GLORIOUS was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GENEVA 26.7% 3.75 2
2 10 SUNNY DA BEST 16.6% 6.03 3
3 4 TELECOM DRAGON 11.0% 9.07 7
4 3 MUST GO 7.1% 14.18 6
5 13 SPICY GOLD 6.7% 14.95 5
6 8 GALE SAGA 6.7% 14.96 12
7 5 AWESOME TREASURE 5.8% 17.36 4
8 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS 5.2% 19.06 1
9 1 HOLY POWER 4.6% 21.63 10
10 2 WAR OF COURAGE 4.2% 23.84 9
11 11 TOP PEAK 2.4% 41.24 8
12 9 LINK 1.8% 56.85 13
13 14 URBAN TRIUMPH 0.8% 121.04 11
14 12 HICKORY VICTORY 0.4% 226.93 14
GENEVASUNNY DA BESTTELECOM DRAGONMUST GOSPICY GOLDGALE SAGAAWESOME TREASURECALL ME GLORIOUS — wonHOLY POWERWAR OF COURAGETOP PEAKLINKURBAN TRIUMPHHICKORY VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 45

PLACE

6 15.5

7 17.5

10 40

QUINELLA

6,7 72.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 32.5

6,10 71

7,10 113.5

FORECAST

7,6 154

TIERCE

7,6,10 1,302

TRIO

6,7,10 282

FIRST 4

5,6,7,10 1,217

QUARTET

7,6,10,5 19,873

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

2/10/6 138

2/10/7 1,289

4TH DOUBLE

10/6 11.5

10/7 102