Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2.00.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 11 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 2 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly V-/B2/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 4 | 80.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SWORD POINT Led early CP L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 5 | 75.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 78.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER V L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 10 | 108.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 36.6% | 2.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 27.6% | 3.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 8.4% | 11.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 4.9% | 20.34 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 3.3% | 30.16 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.9% | 34.25 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 2.1% | 47.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 1.8% | 55.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 1.2% | 80.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 1.0% | 101.82 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16.5
PLACE
1 11.5
2 14.5
8 34
QUINELLA
1,2 33
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 19.5
1,8 55
2,8 82
FORECAST
1,2 42
TIERCE
1,2,8 334
TRIO
1,2,8 145
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 81
QUARTET
1,2,8,3 920
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 175
12/2 68