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Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 05:32

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 6 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SWEET ENCOUNTER second and ATULLIBIGEAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SWEET ENCOUNTER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.35.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly TT 1.35.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W Y So 4 8.0 1/2
2 6 SWEET ENCOUNTER K Teetan · J Size 3 2.6 1/2
3 3 ATULLIBIGEAL Led early B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 2 3.0 1/2
4 5 SPIRITED EXPRESS B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 5 5.8 3/4
5 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 6 15.0 3/4
6 4 FANTASTIC TREASURE TT J McDonald · D A Hayes 1 7.2 1-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING2. SWEET ENCOUNTER+0.5L3. ATULLIBIGEAL+0.5L4. SPIRITED EXPRESS+0.75L5. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+0.75L6. FANTASTIC TREASURE+1.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ATULLIBIGEAL (39.4%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER SUNNY SING was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 ATULLIBIGEAL 39.4% 2.54 3
2 6 SWEET ENCOUNTER 29.3% 3.41 2
3 4 FANTASTIC TREASURE 11.4% 8.79 6
4 2 SUPER SUNNY SING 9.5% 10.57 1
5 5 SPIRITED EXPRESS 8.1% 12.35 4
6 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 2.4% 42.19 5
ATULLIBIGEALSWEET ENCOUNTERFANTASTIC TREASURESUPER SUNNY SING — wonSPIRITED EXPRESSTHE GOLDEN SCENERY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 80.5

PLACE

2 29

6 15

QUINELLA

2,6 100

FORECAST

2,6 270

TIERCE

2,6,3 556

TRIO

2,3,6 68

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 55

QUARTET

2,6,3,5 2,127

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 553.5

1/6 37

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,12/2,3,6 7,024