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Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly TT 1.35.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W Y So 4 8.0 1/2
2 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER K Teetan · J Size 3 2.6 1/2
3 0 ATULLIBIGEAL Led early B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 2 3.0 1/2
4 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 5 5.8 3/4
5 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 6 15.0 3/4
6 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE TT J McDonald · D A Hayes 1 7.2 1-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SWEET ENCOUNTER second and ATULLIBIGEAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SWEET ENCOUNTER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING—2. SWEET ENCOUNTER+0.5L3. ATULLIBIGEAL+0.5L4. SPIRITED EXPRESS+0.75L5. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+0.75L6. FANTASTIC TREASURE+1.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ATULLIBIGEAL (39.4%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER SUNNY SING was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ATULLIBIGEAL 39.4% 2.54 3
2 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER 29.3% 3.41 2
3 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE 11.4% 8.79 6
4 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 9.5% 10.57 1
5 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS 8.1% 12.35 4
6 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 2.4% 42.19 5
ATULLIBIGEALSWEET ENCOUNTERFANTASTIC TREASURESUPER SUNNY SING — wonSPIRITED EXPRESSTHE GOLDEN SCENERY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 80.5

PLACE

2 29

6 15

QUINELLA

2,6 100

FORECAST

2,6 270

TIERCE

2,6,3 556

TRIO

2,3,6 68

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 55

QUARTET

2,6,3,5 2,127

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 553.5

1/6 37

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,12/2,3,6 7,024