Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 06:03
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LITTLE FAIRY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with STAR OF GLORY second and BROTHER PEARL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.7 favourite SUPERB MOVE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B-/V1 1.36.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 5 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | GET THE MONIES B-/CP1/TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 3 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GO GO GO Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 1 | 5.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 8 | 70.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | CHARMANDER B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 5.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MULAN B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 6 | 122.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHARMANDER | 19.3% | 5.19 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPERB MOVE | 18.8% | 5.31 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | LITTLE FAIRY | 13.3% | 7.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY | 9.4% | 10.63 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | GO GO GO | 7.4% | 13.58 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 6.9% | 14.52 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | BROTHER PEARL | 5.9% | 17.01 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | GET THE MONIES | 4.7% | 21.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER | 4.4% | 22.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.1% | 24.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.7% | 27.29 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 1.7% | 59.48 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | MULAN | 0.6% | 173.11 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 68
PLACE
2 27.5
11 28
13 35.5
QUINELLA
2,13 414
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 115.5
2,13 160.5
11,13 200
FORECAST
2,13 797
TIERCE
2,13,11 7,290
TRIO
2,11,13 1,330
FIRST 4
2,11,12,13 2,264
QUARTET
2,13,11,12 45,985
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 466.5
2/13 201