Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KIMBERLEY Closed strongly B/TT 2.02.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Led early B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 6.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | JUBILATION V Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 9 | 9.5 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 4 | 43.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 15.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT BLAZING TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 38.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KIMBERLEY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1/2, with DARCI JOY second and STARSHIP EIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KIMBERLEY | 26.8% | 3.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 11.5% | 8.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 11.0% | 9.11 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 9.0% | 11.05 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.5% | 13.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 7.2% | 13.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUBILATION | 5.8% | 17.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 5.3% | 18.74 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS | 3.2% | 31.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.7% | 37.16 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT BLAZING | 1.1% | 91.90 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 59
PLACE
1 21.5
4 25
12 31
QUINELLA
1,4 255
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 89
1,12 107
4,12 115.5
FORECAST
1,4 527
TIERCE
1,4,12 3,958
TRIO
1,4,12 718
FIRST 4
1,4,8,12 1,296
QUARTET
1,4,12,8 31,290