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Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 16:49

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B 1.34.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui 2 19.0 SH
2 0 KARMA Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes 9 8.3 SH
3 0 SILVER UP Closed strongly H-/B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 8.7 SH
4 0 BEATO Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 7 3.0 SH
5 0 SOLEIL FIGHTER XB K Teetan · D A Hayes 12 12.0 N
6 0 BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size 6 11.0 1/2
7 0 FRANTANCK Led early H- Y L Chung · P C Ng 1 5.7 3/4
8 0 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte 8 19.0 1
9 0 SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 4 11.0 1-3/4
10 0 MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB B Thompson · P F Yiu 10 28.0 3-1/4
11 0 EIGHTEEN CARAT B/XB A Badel · C S Shum 3 16.0 4-1/2
12 0 BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor 13 65.0 7-3/4
13 0 MARADO B H T Mo · W Y So 11 162.0 14-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL HORIZON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with KARMA second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BEATO finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. UNIVERSAL HORIZON—2. KARMA+0.1L3. SILVER UP+0.1L4. BEATO+0.1L5. SOLEIL FIGHTER+0.05L6. BEAUTY FIT+0.5L7. FRANTANCK+0.75L8. ZOOM BOOM+1L9. SWEET BRIAR+1.75L10. MIDORI BURLY+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick FRANTANCK (24.6%) finished 7th — the winner UNIVERSAL HORIZON was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FRANTANCK 24.6% 4.06 7
2 0 BEATO 15.3% 6.53 4
3 0 KARMA 12.4% 8.09 2
4 0 SWEET BRIAR 11.7% 8.57 9
5 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON 6.5% 15.47 1
6 0 SOLEIL FIGHTER 6.2% 16.11 5
7 0 BEAUTY FIT 5.8% 17.34 6
8 0 SILVER UP 5.3% 18.93 3
9 0 ZOOM BOOM 3.9% 25.57 8
10 0 MIDORI BURLY 3.0% 33.31 10
11 0 EIGHTEEN CARAT 2.3% 42.73 11
12 0 BEAUTY LIVE 2.0% 50.10 12
13 0 MARADO 1.1% 93.39 13
FRANTANCKBEATOKARMASWEET BRIARUNIVERSAL HORIZON — wonSOLEIL FIGHTERBEAUTY FITSILVER UPZOOM BOOMMIDORI BURLYEIGHTEEN CARATBEAUTY LIVEMARADO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 195.5

PLACE

2 41.5

3 26.5

9 34

QUINELLA

2,3 871

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 236.5

2,9 328.5

3,9 147.5

FORECAST

2,3 2,171

TIERCE

2,3,9 24,943

TRIO

2,3,9 3,067

FIRST 4

2,3,9,12 2,194

QUARTET

2,3,9,12 100,839

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,8/2,3,9 47,784

7TH DOUBLE

1/2 483

1/3 16.5