Sha Tin · 2024-02-25 · 08:50
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-25 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL HORIZON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with KARMA second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BEATO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B 1.34.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | KARMA Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 9 | 8.3 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | SILVER UP Closed strongly H-/B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 8.7 | SH |
| 4 | 12 | BEATO Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.0 | SH |
| 5 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 12.0 | N |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | FRANTANCK Led early H- Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 10 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | EIGHTEEN CARAT B/XB A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 65.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | MARADO B H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 11 | 162.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FRANTANCK | 24.6% | 4.06 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | BEATO | 15.3% | 6.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | KARMA | 12.4% | 8.09 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SWEET BRIAR | 11.7% | 8.57 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 6.5% | 15.47 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.11 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY FIT | 5.8% | 17.34 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | SILVER UP | 5.3% | 18.93 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | ZOOM BOOM | 3.9% | 25.57 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | MIDORI BURLY | 3.0% | 33.31 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 2.3% | 42.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.0% | 50.10 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | MARADO | 1.1% | 93.39 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 195.5
PLACE
2 41.5
3 26.5
9 34
QUINELLA
2,3 871
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 236.5
2,9 328.5
3,9 147.5
FORECAST
2,3 2,171
TIERCE
2,3,9 24,943
TRIO
2,3,9 3,067
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 2,194
QUARTET
2,3,9,12 100,839
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/2,3,9 47,784
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 483
1/3 16.5