沙田 · 2024-02-25 · 06:33
第 4場
2024-02-25沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、D J Hall訓練的CHAMPION INSTINCT勝出，贏出1-1/4。SOLID SHALAA獲得亞軍；PACKING PROSPECT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 8 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING PROSPECT TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | CRAZY TREASURE B1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SOARING BRONCO Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | WINNING HEART B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HIGH RISE POWER B- K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 7 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER B1/TT1 A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 3 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MASTER STROKE L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 5 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FAIRY HORSE H1/TT1 L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 14 | 147.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | E TALENT B2 H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 10 | 162.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SAVVY ELEGANCE B/H/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 150.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | SPEED SWORD TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 14.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 18.4% | 5.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | WINNING HEART | 15.8% | 6.34 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING PROSPECT | 15.3% | 6.54 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA | 9.4% | 10.62 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | SOARING BRONCO | 8.6% | 11.62 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | SPEED SWORD | 6.6% | 15.24 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 4.1% | 24.39 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | FAIRY HORSE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | CRAZY TREASURE | 1.4% | 69.09 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | SAVVY ELEGANCE | 0.9% | 111.27 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | HIGH RISE POWER | 0.8% | 124.70 | 8 |
| 13 | 1 | MASTER STROKE | 0.7% | 143.95 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | E TALENT | 0.5% | 216.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 24
PLACE
4 31
6 26.5
10 12.5
QUINELLA
4,10 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 157
4,10 51.5
6,10 46.5
FORECAST
10,4 205
TIERCE
10,4,6 1,297
TRIO
4,6,10 301
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 231
QUARTET
10,4,6,3 3,934
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,13/4,6,10 68,735
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 133
2/10 244