沙田 · 2024-03-03
第 6場
2024-03-03沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY HEART勝出，贏出HD。YOU'REMYEVERYTHING獲得亞軍；MUST GO獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MUST GO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY HEART TT 1.10.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 13 | 4.1 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | MUST GO E/PC/TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | LESS IS MORE H1/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE CP/H A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FULL CREDIT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MAJESTIC SPEED TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 6 | 164.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER BONUS B K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 53.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GO HERO H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 156.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 21.7% | 4.61 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY HEART | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | LESS IS MORE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | MUST GO | 11.4% | 8.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | STRATHBARRY | 5.1% | 19.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 4.6% | 21.72 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.4% | 22.67 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME | 3.4% | 29.73 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM | 2.9% | 34.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | FULL CREDIT | 2.3% | 42.85 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER BONUS | 1.8% | 55.56 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | GO HERO | 1.3% | 77.91 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 0.6% | 176.69 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 41
PLACE
3 48.5
6 16.5
7 17
QUINELLA
3,7 343
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 101.5
3,7 115.5
6,7 31.5
FORECAST
7,3 587
TIERCE
7,3,6 1,849
TRIO
3,6,7 268
FIRST 4
3,6,7,10 292
QUARTET
7,3,6,10 8,749
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/3,6,7 843,363
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 1,461
11/7 4,012
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,12/3,5,11/Any Combination 322,932