Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY HEART, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with YOU'REMYEVERYTHING second and MUST GO third. The 3.4 favourite MUST GO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY HEART TT 1.10.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 13 | 4.1 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | MUST GO E/PC/TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | LESS IS MORE H1/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE CP/H A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FULL CREDIT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MAJESTIC SPEED TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 6 | 164.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER BONUS B K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 53.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GO HERO H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 156.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 21.7% | 4.61 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY HEART | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | LESS IS MORE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | MUST GO | 11.4% | 8.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | STRATHBARRY | 5.1% | 19.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 4.6% | 21.72 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.4% | 22.67 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME | 3.4% | 29.73 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM | 2.9% | 34.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | FULL CREDIT | 2.3% | 42.85 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER BONUS | 1.8% | 55.56 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | GO HERO | 1.3% | 77.91 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 0.6% | 176.69 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 41
PLACE
3 48.5
6 16.5
7 17
QUINELLA
3,7 343
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 101.5
3,7 115.5
6,7 31.5
FORECAST
7,3 587
TIERCE
7,3,6 1,849
TRIO
3,6,7 268
FIRST 4
3,6,7,10 292
QUARTET
7,3,6,10 8,749
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/3,6,7 843,363
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 1,461
11/7 4,012
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,12/3,5,11/Any Combination 322,932