Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT 1.39.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 5 | 23.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | ALACRITY Closed strongly PC/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 4.1 | N |
| 4 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | APACHE PASS B/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 8 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NORDIC DRAGON Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 10 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and ALACRITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite ADEFILL finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALACRITY | 28.4% | 3.52 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | ADEFILL | 16.8% | 5.96 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 14.0% | 7.13 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 12.7% | 7.89 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NORDIC DRAGON | 6.2% | 16.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.7% | 17.52 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.2% | 19.34 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 5.0% | 20.16 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 3.3% | 30.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 2.8% | 35.38 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 95.5
PLACE
1 58
3 28.5
6 14
QUINELLA
1,3 922
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 270.5
1,6 111
3,6 63
FORECAST
3,1 2,031
TIERCE
3,1,6 7,651
TRIO
1,3,6 872
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 3,844
QUARTET
3,1,6,10 101,190
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 170
2/3 339.5