Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.47.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 1.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY Led early B/XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 13 | 52.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | ENSUED Closed strongly R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 12 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP-/B1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B-/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE FEELING CP-/B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNBELIEVABLE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 111.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 5 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 89.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK D Lane · P F Yiu | D Lane | P F Yiu | 6 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 32.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 57.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA VOCE B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HELIOS EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by SH, with CHANCHENG GLORY second and ENSUED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE FEELING | 26.8% | 3.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 20.4% | 4.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ENSUED | 11.8% | 8.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI | 11.3% | 8.83 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 7.4% | 13.55 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION | 4.4% | 22.76 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 4.1% | 24.31 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON | 3.1% | 32.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 3.0% | 33.17 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR MAC | 2.9% | 34.74 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | FALLON | 2.4% | 41.00 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL | 1.2% | 86.41 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | UNBELIEVABLE | 1.1% | 89.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16.5
PLACE
1 10.5
4 20.5
8 95.5
QUINELLA
1,8 397
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 25.5
1,8 134.5
4,8 367
FORECAST
1,8 462
TIERCE
1,8,4 2,757
TRIO
1,4,8 629
FIRST 4
1,4,8,14 2,204
QUARTET
1,8,4,14 36,019
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/1 85.5
7/8 689