Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRAWNS ELEVEN, ridden by H Bentley and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/2, with TORONADO PHANTOM second and O'LINER third. The 2.1 favourite LADY'S CHOICE finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB1/TT1 1.09.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 1 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT M Barzalona · J Size | M Barzalona | J Size | 2 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | O'LINER P-/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 8 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | I GIVE K H Chan · P C Ng | K H Chan | P C Ng | 10 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FLOOF K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 6 | 94.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | STELLAR SWIFT TT1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.7 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 2.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LEEDOX TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 3 | 76.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE | 24.3% | 4.12 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | I GIVE | 18.8% | 5.31 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | O'LINER | 11.7% | 8.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | STELLAR SWIFT | 8.6% | 11.61 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR | 7.4% | 13.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 7.3% | 13.62 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 6.4% | 15.52 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.2% | 19.41 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | FLOOF | 4.3% | 23.46 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | LEEDOX | 3.1% | 32.71 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 2.9% | 34.13 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 424
PLACE
3 59.5
5 20
11 74.5
QUINELLA
5,11 897
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 161
3,11 773.5
5,11 192.5
FORECAST
11,5 2,453
TIERCE
11,5,3 38,465
TRIO
3,5,11 5,263
FIRST 4
3,5,10,11 8,023
QUARTET
11,5,3,10 246,424
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/12/5 627
3/12/11 44,057
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 96.5
12/11 3,755.5