Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly 2.02.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B-/V1 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 4 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 9 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY LAKE B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EIGHTEEN CARAT Led early B/XB A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 142.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DEVILDOM B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ENIGMA TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 2.9 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LEAN HERO B/XB1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 49.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SILVER KING H1/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 13 | 91.0 | 48-1/4 |
| — | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. MASSIVE SOVEREIGN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 3-1/4, with SIMPLE HEDGE second and BILLIONAIRE SECRET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite NOBLE PURSUIT finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 21.6% | 4.64 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN | 13.1% | 7.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 8.9% | 11.29 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HOLY LAKE | 8.4% | 11.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 6.0% | 16.61 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 5.4% | 18.37 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 5.0% | 20.16 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ENIGMA | 4.1% | 24.39 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 3.7% | 27.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | DEVILDOM | 2.5% | 40.27 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 2.1% | 48.59 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | SILVER KING | 1.4% | 69.09 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | BRAVEHEARTS | 1.3% | 78.35 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 91.5
PLACE
2 16
4 30.5
13 72
QUINELLA
2,4 237
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 91
2,13 197
4,13 447.5
FORECAST
4,2 537
TIERCE
4,2,13 10,926
TRIO
2,4,13 2,005
FIRST 4
2,4,9,13 7,193
QUARTET
4,2,13,9 143,620
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
8/2 112.5
8/4 1,212