Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT 1.34.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LAUGH TALE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 161.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHILLI BABA V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FRUITY WARRIOR Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 14 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | I CAN Led early B/H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK TT- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HERO WARRIOR TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 221.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with BEER PALACE second and CELTIC TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite CALIFORNIATOTALITY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DEVAS TWELVE | 17.6% | 5.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES | 16.7% | 5.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 15.8% | 6.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEER PALACE | 9.4% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHILLI BABA | 9.2% | 10.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 5.3% | 18.96 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.3% | 18.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | I CAN | 5.2% | 19.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 3.7% | 26.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 3.7% | 27.18 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 3.6% | 28.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LAUGH TALE | 3.5% | 28.65 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | HERO WARRIOR | 0.5% | 182.61 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 0.4% | 231.31 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 50
PLACE
4 21
6 22
12 19.5
QUINELLA
4,12 190.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 84
4,12 66
6,12 69.5
FORECAST
12,4 386
TIERCE
12,4,6 2,029
TRIO
4,6,12 415
FIRST 4
4,6,11,12 241
QUARTET
12,4,6,11 7,156
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,6,12 41,247
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 77
3/12 444.5