Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H 1.22.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly H-/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 145.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS ARION Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 7 | 98.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly H-/B1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 14 | 65.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/H/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 5 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SAKEWIN Led early CP-/TT- M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 114.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EXCEL WONGCHOY K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 10 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CITY THUNDER B1 H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 9 | 84.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER WINNER TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 21.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 13 | 39.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BLUE MARLIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with MAGNIFICENT NINE second and HUGE WAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MAGNIFICENT NINE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 37.7% | 2.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 14.9% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB KID | 14.6% | 6.86 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.4% | 11.96 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 4.2% | 23.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.9% | 25.33 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 3.7% | 27.40 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | CITY THUNDER | 3.1% | 32.12 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 2.6% | 38.85 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | E LEGEND | 2.6% | 38.93 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 1.8% | 55.42 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SAKEWIN | 1.1% | 93.62 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.9% | 109.09 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | HUGE WAVE | 0.5% | 185.06 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 36.5
PLACE
1 15.5
2 304.5
11 13
QUINELLA
1,11 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 1,186
1,11 22.5
2,11 749
FORECAST
1,11 123
TIERCE
1,11,2 11,787
TRIO
1,2,11 2,320
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 1,755
QUARTET
1,11,2,6 48,381
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/4/1 6,459
8/4/11 946
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,13/1,2,11 581,228
9TH DOUBLE
4/1 675.5
4/11 57
SIX UP
5,11/3,7/1,8/5,8/2,4/1,11 3,400
11/7/1/8/4/1 3,143,110
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton], 2 [H Bowman] —