Sha Tin · 2024-03-03
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ORIENTAL SMOKE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with WINDCHEATER second and STRATHPEFFER third. The 2.1 favourite WINDCHEATER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT 1.09.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.8 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | WINDCHEATER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 2.1 | HD |
| 3 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | KING OBERON H K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 1 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SKY TRUST H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI P/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 76.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SOLAR UP CP-/B2/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 2 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PACKING WISHER TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 3 | 165.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FIREFOOT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 10 | 90.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 286.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | FORTUNE COOKIES B1/TT1 K H Chan · J Richards | K H Chan | J Richards | 12 | 165.0 | 20-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINDCHEATER | 29.5% | 3.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR | 8.1% | 12.33 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 6.4% | 15.63 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI | 5.7% | 17.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | EASY SNIP | 5.3% | 18.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | FIREFOOT | 5.3% | 18.97 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF | 4.6% | 21.71 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE COOKIES | 3.6% | 27.70 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | KING OBERON | 2.7% | 36.50 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | PACKING WISHER | 0.8% | 119.27 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | SOLAR UP | 0.6% | 160.36 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET | 0.4% | 242.22 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 48
PLACE
2 16
3 13
14 23
QUINELLA
2,3 55
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 26.5
2,14 60
3,14 40.5
FORECAST
2,3 146
TIERCE
2,3,14 622
TRIO
2,3,14 128
FIRST 4
2,3,12,14 466
QUARTET
2,3,14,12 6,968
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 282.5
5/3 34.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/2,3,14 4,942