沙田 · 2024-03-10
第 8場
2024-03-10沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、K W Lui訓練的BABY CRYSTAL勝出，贏出N。JAMES TAK獲得亞軍；STELLAR EXPRESS獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門STELLAR EXPRESS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT 0.56.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 14 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 8 | JAMES TAK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 8.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | RUBYLOT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 6 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H1/SR1/TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 66.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 50.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 8 | 115.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT CP1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 7 | 45.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR PC1/TT- A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 5 | 32.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | RUBYLOT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 19.0% | 5.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | JAMES TAK | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 8.9% | 11.23 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 8.2% | 12.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL | 5.6% | 17.76 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 4.9% | 20.56 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 4.3% | 23.24 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 3.2% | 31.12 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 3.0% | 33.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 2.9% | 34.18 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 2.5% | 40.56 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR | 2.3% | 43.75 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 0.9% | 107.87 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 65.5
PLACE
4 16
6 20.5
8 20
QUINELLA
6,8 159
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 47
4,8 36.5
6,8 59
FORECAST
6,8 345
TIERCE
6,8,4 1,063
TRIO
4,6,8 125
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 263
QUARTET
6,8,4,7 8,614
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/4,6,8 130,338
7TH DOUBLE
2/6 747.5
2/8 114.5