沙田 · 2024-03-10
第 9場
2024-03-10沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的HAPPY TOGETHER勝出，贏出SH。CHAMPION DRAGON獲得亞軍；FIVE G PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門ALACRITY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 H/TT 1.48.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 13 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.6 | N |
| 4 | 14 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 早段領放 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | C P BRAVE V H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND V/XB B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 1 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ALACRITY PC-/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER SUNNY SING 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 13 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 69.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALACRITY | 29.2% | 3.43 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 14.7% | 6.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FIVE G PATCH | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | C P BRAVE | 7.6% | 13.19 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH | 6.0% | 16.58 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 5.0% | 20.01 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 4.6% | 21.66 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 3.8% | 26.34 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.18 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 3.3% | 30.65 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | NATURAL STORM | 3.0% | 33.25 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.4% | 42.06 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY | 1.6% | 63.04 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 77
PLACE
2 23.5
3 26.5
5 47
QUINELLA
3,5 733
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 62.5
2,5 170.5
3,5 223.5
FORECAST
3,5 1,359
TIERCE
3,5,2 6,848
TRIO
2,3,5 859
FIRST 4
2,3,5,14 3,238
QUARTET
3,5,2,14 87,649
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
6/3 453.5
6/5 165