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Sha Tin · 2024-03-10

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD TO YIELDING 1800m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.48.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 2 7.7 SH
2 0 CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 13 16.0 SH
3 0 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 4 6.6 N
4 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER Led early B Thompson · J Size 10 13.0 1/2
5 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 14 9.2 1
6 0 C P BRAVE V H Bentley · P F Yiu 9 6.3 1-1/4
7 0 NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 6 22.0 1-1/4
8 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND V/XB B Avdulla · M Newnham 1 15.0 2-1/4
9 0 ALACRITY PC-/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 3 4.1 2-1/4
10 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So 12 15.0 2-1/2
11 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS B/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu 8 33.0 2-1/2
12 0 RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang 5 36.0 3
13 0 LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 22.0 3-3/4
14 0 RUNNING GLORY B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 7 69.0 11-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-10 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with CHAMPION DRAGON second and FIVE G PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite ALACRITY finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY TOGETHER—2. CHAMPION DRAGON+0.1L3. FIVE G PATCH+0.05L4. SWEET ENCOUNTER+0.5L5. THE BEST PEACH+1L6. C P BRAVE+1.25L7. NATURAL STORM+1.25L8. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+2.25L9. ALACRITY+2.25L10. SUPER SUNNY SING+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ALACRITY (29.2%) finished 9th — the winner HAPPY TOGETHER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ALACRITY 29.2% 3.43 9
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 14.7% 6.81 1
3 0 FIVE G PATCH 8.2% 12.18 3
4 0 C P BRAVE 7.6% 13.19 6
5 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER 7.2% 13.82 4
6 0 THE BEST PEACH 6.0% 16.58 5
7 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 5.0% 20.01 10
8 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS 4.6% 21.66 11
9 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 3.8% 26.34 13
10 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 3.4% 29.18 2
11 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 3.3% 30.65 8
12 0 NATURAL STORM 3.0% 33.25 7
13 0 RISING FROM ASHES 2.4% 42.06 12
14 0 RUNNING GLORY 1.6% 63.04 14
ALACRITYHAPPY TOGETHER — wonFIVE G PATCHC P BRAVESWEET ENCOUNTERTHE BEST PEACHSUPER SUNNY SINGSPIRITED EXPRESSLA CITY BLANCHECHAMPION DRAGONTOURBILLON DIAMONDNATURAL STORMRISING FROM ASHESRUNNING GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 77

PLACE

2 23.5

3 26.5

5 47

QUINELLA

3,5 733

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 62.5

2,5 170.5

3,5 223.5

FORECAST

3,5 1,359

TIERCE

3,5,2 6,848

TRIO

2,3,5 859

FIRST 4

2,3,5,14 3,238

QUARTET

3,5,2,14 87,649

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

6/3 453.5

6/5 165