Sha Tin · 2024-03-10
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Wire to wire CP-/TT 1.22.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RED LION A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Closed strongly J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 8 | 2.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 110.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H-/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 10 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 1 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 59.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-10 was Group 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with GALAXY PATCH second and RED LION third. The winner led throughout. The 2.2 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 27.6% | 3.62 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 23.5% | 4.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 12.3% | 8.12 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | GALAXY PATCH | 11.0% | 9.11 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 6.8% | 14.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 6.1% | 16.48 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 4.5% | 22.43 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | RED LION | 3.5% | 28.28 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.8% | 36.25 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 1.9% | 51.62 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 110
PLACE
2 28.5
9 41
10 26
QUINELLA
2,10 572.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 235
2,10 137
9,10 202
FORECAST
2,10 1,137
TIERCE
2,10,9 13,649
TRIO
2,9,10 3,213
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 1,427
QUARTET
2,10,9,3 47,131
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7,12/2 251
7,12/10 45.5