Sha Tin · 2024-03-10
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BOWSER TT 0.57.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H1/P1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 32.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | PROSECCO SR/V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 12.0 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | FUN ELITE TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 4 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL WORLD L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 13 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE GREAT MASTER H1/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HELLS BELLS SR/XB/TT1 B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 12 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PROSPEROUS SMILE CP- A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FANCY STAR P/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 79.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PANDA B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 6.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MARIO B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 161.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | CERVIN B-/TT1 K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 5 | 128.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | DEEP PURSUIT H1/TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 21.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BOWSER, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by NOSE, with LUCKY SYMPHONY second and PROSECCO third. The 2.9 favourite FUN ELITE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FUN ELITE | 23.0% | 4.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | PROSECCO | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | PANDA | 16.5% | 6.07 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | BOWSER | 9.4% | 10.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.7% | 11.47 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEERFUL WORLD | 6.7% | 15.02 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | DEEP PURSUIT | 6.1% | 16.51 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | PROSPEROUS SMILE | 2.7% | 36.84 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CERVIN | 2.7% | 37.00 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 2.2% | 45.93 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | HELLS BELLS | 1.8% | 54.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | MARIO | 1.4% | 71.62 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | FANCY STAR | 0.7% | 141.99 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | THE GREAT MASTER | 0.6% | 167.81 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 50.5
PLACE
5 18
10 72
14 31
QUINELLA
5,10 812
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 226
5,14 88.5
10,14 522
FORECAST
5,10 1,178
TIERCE
5,10,14 15,288
TRIO
5,10,14 2,998
FIRST 4
2,5,10,14 1,528
QUARTET
5,10,14,2 48,254
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/5 190.5
11/10 355
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/5,10,14 124,625