Sha Tin · 2024-03-10
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STAR CLUB, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with LIFELINE EXPRESS second and PHOENIX LIGHT third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STAR CLUB 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | LIFELINE EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT B-/H2/TT- Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | KING MILES C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GIMME FIVE H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | COMPASSION SUPER B2/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FORERUNNER TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 1 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | VERBIER B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 11 | 77.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 143.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | GLORY ELITE L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 8.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MASSIVE TALENT CP/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 20.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | PACKING PROSPECT CP1/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 8 | 8.2 | 27-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STAR CLUB | 27.8% | 3.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GIMME FIVE | 12.4% | 8.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | PACKING PROSPECT | 11.9% | 8.38 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | GLORY ELITE | 9.6% | 10.40 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 8.5% | 11.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | KING MILES | 5.4% | 18.37 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MASSIVE TALENT | 5.4% | 18.43 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 4.9% | 20.42 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 4.8% | 20.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 3.6% | 28.07 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | VERBIER | 3.5% | 28.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | COMPASSION SUPER | 2.2% | 45.64 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 21
PLACE
1 13
2 36
8 17
QUINELLA
1,8 70
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 90
1,8 30.5
2,8 157.5
FORECAST
1,8 106
TIERCE
1,8,2 931
TRIO
1,2,8 291
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 1,130
QUARTET
1,8,2,7 10,736
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/5/1 543
10/5/8 287
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 53
5/8 50.5