Sha Tin · 2024-03-10
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SOLID IMPACT, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS second and NORTHERN BEACHES third. The 1.9 favourite EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SOLID IMPACT CP 1.10.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 1.9 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | NORTHERN BEACHES K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION H/B2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 6 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | HASTEN DELIGHT B1/TT1 H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | KYEEMA M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 141.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | APOLAR FIGHTER H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 7 | 145.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ACE ONE B-/V1/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 81.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LOST CHILD B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 13.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 44.1% | 2.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 10.9% | 9.21 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | SOLID IMPACT | 10.8% | 9.26 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LOST CHILD | 6.7% | 14.81 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION | 5.6% | 17.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 5.3% | 18.78 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | PINS PRINCE | 4.7% | 21.23 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND | 4.6% | 21.82 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | CAMPIONE | 2.3% | 43.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | ACE ONE | 2.1% | 47.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 1.8% | 54.38 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | KYEEMA | 1.0% | 97.72 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 61.5
PLACE
3 11
4 32
10 18
QUINELLA
3,10 58.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 50
3,10 26
4,10 103
FORECAST
10,3 179
TIERCE
10,3,4 1,290
TRIO
3,4,10 215
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 367
QUARTET
10,3,4,5 9,044
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 17.5
5/10 190