沙田 · 2024-03-10
第 10場
2024-03-10沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Y L Chung策騎、P C Ng訓練的FRANTANCK勝出，贏出3/4。ILLUMINOUS獲得亞軍；BEATO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.2倍大熱門GIDDY UP跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FRANTANCK 一路領先 1.36.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 8 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ILLUMINOUS 後段發力 B-/V1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BEATO 後段發力 B-/V1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | KARMA 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 5 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 14 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 XB A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 2 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GIDDY UP 後段發力 TT J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 1 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 13 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | ACCOLADE START TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 68.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | HAKKA RADIANCE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 111.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 6 | 35.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BEATO | 17.2% | 5.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | GIDDY UP | 16.2% | 6.16 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | KARMA | 13.7% | 7.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 7.5% | 13.30 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | FRANTANCK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | TALENTS AMBITION | 7.0% | 14.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | ILLUMINOUS | 6.1% | 16.43 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 5.6% | 17.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 4.7% | 21.29 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.5% | 22.01 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.48 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 3.6% | 28.12 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | ACCOLADE START | 1.6% | 63.47 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 0.6% | 157.31 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 92
PLACE
3 30.5
11 19
12 26.5
QUINELLA
3,12 478
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 72.5
3,12 147.5
11,12 85.5
FORECAST
12,3 906
TIERCE
12,3,11 4,710
TRIO
3,11,12 676
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 804
QUARTET
12,3,11,5 21,560
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/3/3 466
6/3/12 4,947
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/3,11,12 61,690
9TH DOUBLE
3/3 65
3/12 984.5
SIX UP
1/7,12/2/6/3/12 348,328
1,8/2,7,12/2,10/6,8/3,5/3,12 11,420
2 [A S Cruz] —
1 [Z Purton] —