沙田 · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
第 1場
2024-04-03沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、C W Chang訓練的JOYFUL CHAMPION勝出，贏出2-1/4。NICE BIRDIE獲得亞軍；SUPERB MOVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門M M NEBULA跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION 後段發力 B/TT 1.49.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | NICE BIRDIE 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPERB MOVE 後段發力 B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL 後段發力 CP A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 13 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 H2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | M M NEBULA PC/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 3.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LEATHER MASTER 後段發力 B L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 14 | 19.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY HERO B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 8 | 30.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | MISTER ARM H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 81.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER 早段領放 B/TT K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 10 | 30.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL H/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.9 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | M M NEBULA | 28.2% | 3.54 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | NICE BIRDIE | 12.4% | 8.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 8.5% | 11.72 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPERB MOVE | 8.5% | 11.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | NINJA DERBY | 7.2% | 13.92 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 6.5% | 15.42 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY HERO | 5.6% | 17.78 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL | 5.4% | 18.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | LEATHER MASTER | 4.3% | 23.28 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GREEN LASER | 3.8% | 26.40 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER HORNET | 3.4% | 29.09 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT | 2.9% | 34.69 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER | 2.4% | 42.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | MISTER ARM | 0.9% | 114.09 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 71.5
PLACE
4 31
6 34.5
12 24
QUINELLA
4,12 404
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 162
4,12 118.5
6,12 124.5
FORECAST
12,4 737
TIERCE
12,4,6 6,245
TRIO
4,6,12 1,135
FIRST 4
4,6,11,12 3,197
QUARTET
12,4,6,11 65,412