沙田 · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
第 8場
2024-04-03沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M L Yeung策騎、C Fownes訓練的M UNICORN勝出，贏出SH。TURIN MASCOT獲得亞軍；ADEFILL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門ADEFILL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | M UNICORN 後段發力 H/P/TT 1.37.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 19.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 6.8 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | ADEFILL 後段發力 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.9 | SH |
| 4 | 5 | BERLIN TANGO 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | APACHE PASS B-/XB/BO2 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | YELLOWFIN 早段領放 XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | FIERY DIAMOND TT K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 6 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 54.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 8.6 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | ALACRITY XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | APACHE PASS | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | ADEFILL | 18.0% | 5.56 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 10.9% | 9.15 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 10.7% | 9.33 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.9% | 14.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | MASSIVE ACTION | 5.6% | 17.86 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.87 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | BERLIN TANGO | 4.4% | 22.48 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | M UNICORN | 4.1% | 24.10 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | ALACRITY | 4.0% | 24.70 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SO WE JOY | 3.7% | 26.99 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 3.5% | 28.47 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | FIERY DIAMOND | 3.2% | 31.43 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 195.5
PLACE
4 17.5
7 21
12 54
QUINELLA
7,12 727.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 55
4,12 140
7,12 214.5
FORECAST
12,7 1,478
TIERCE
12,7,4 8,022
TRIO
4,7,12 740
FIRST 4
4,5,7,12 2,623
QUARTET
12,7,4,5 86,298
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/12/7 1,681
5/12/12 21,470
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,12/4,7,12 2,403,194
7TH DOUBLE
12/7 598.5
12/12 5,211
SIX UP
3/1/4/5/12/12 2,272,054
3,5/1,2/4,7/2,5/2,12/7,12 16,628
8 [C Fownes] —
3 [K Teetan] —