沙田 · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
第 7場
2024-04-03沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由B Thompson策騎、C W Chang訓練的FOREVER FOLKS勝出，贏出1。GALVANIC獲得亞軍；TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門MISSION BRAVO跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B 1.39.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 43.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GALVANIC 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER 後段發力 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 PC/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 12 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PANDA LEGEND TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CORDYCEPS ONE Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FAST VICTORY 後段發力 B H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 B/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 6.9 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | MAYHEM H M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | MISSION BRAVO 後段發力 B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 4.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE H-/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 8 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | THE CONCENTRATION 早段領放 P H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 155.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | I KEEP WINNING P-/B1/H1 K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 14 | 128.0 | 42-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 14.4% | 6.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | GALVANIC | 13.6% | 7.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | MISSION BRAVO | 13.4% | 7.44 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | FAST VICTORY | 9.3% | 10.75 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | PANDA LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI | 7.6% | 13.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 7.5% | 13.33 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 7.3% | 13.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | MAYHEM | 5.6% | 17.87 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.2% | 19.35 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.1% | 24.63 | 1 |
| 12 | 14 | THE CONCENTRATION | 1.8% | 55.96 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 0.7% | 138.45 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.6% | 156.37 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 437.5
PLACE
2 27
9 38
12 104
QUINELLA
2,12 1,551
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 199.5
2,12 564
9,12 838.5
FORECAST
12,2 4,695
TIERCE
12,2,9 70,292
TRIO
2,9,12 7,676
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 30,532
QUARTET
12,2,9,3 793,843
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 36.5
5/12 998