沙田 · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
第 4場
2024-04-03沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的MONTA FRUTTA勝出，贏出SH。SOLID SHALAA獲得亞軍；ROBOT KNIGHT獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門DIAMOND FLARE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT 1.09.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | ROBOT KNIGHT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | NEW POWER H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE B/TT E C W Wong · M Newnham | E C W Wong | M Newnham | 1 | 4.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | HIGH RISE POWER K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 6 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | JOLLY COMPANION B-/XB-/CP1/TT1 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING DRAGON XB H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY DESTINY CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 4.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RACINGRACE XB1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 51.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER CP/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 91.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SAVVY ELEGANCE B-/H/P1/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 183.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE | 20.1% | 4.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA | 17.7% | 5.66 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 10.7% | 9.33 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING DRAGON | 10.2% | 9.80 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | NEW POWER | 8.9% | 11.29 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | JOLLY COMPANION | 7.6% | 13.22 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | HIGH RISE POWER | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | MONTA FRUTTA | 5.4% | 18.37 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | RACINGRACE | 5.0% | 19.91 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 4.2% | 23.76 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 2.3% | 43.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SAVVY ELEGANCE | 0.6% | 165.36 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 107.5
PLACE
1 32
2 17.5
7 36
QUINELLA
1,2 217
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 73.5
1,7 288
2,7 121.5
FORECAST
1,2 488
TIERCE
1,2,7 9,709
TRIO
1,2,7 1,423
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 2,887
QUARTET
1,2,7,12 61,043
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,2,7 80,147
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 330
3/2 50