沙田 · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
第 2場
2024-04-03沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的SUPER JOY勝出，贏出SH。DAILY TROPHY獲得亞軍；SPANGLE FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT 1.09.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY P-/B2/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 5 | 8.5 | SH |
| 4 | 12 | NOIR RIDER B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE B/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ALL IS READY B/XB2/TT K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 4 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | HO HO STAR A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 61.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | YEABOI B/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 2 | 22.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.1% | 8.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY | 10.9% | 9.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW | 10.4% | 9.63 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | YEABOI | 7.3% | 13.74 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.2% | 13.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM | 6.7% | 15.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | ALL IS READY | 6.3% | 15.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 4.3% | 23.28 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | HO HO STAR | 3.2% | 31.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | NOIR RIDER | 2.2% | 44.49 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 42
PLACE
1 25.5
7 18.5
10 17.5
QUINELLA
7,10 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 80
1,10 84
7,10 47
FORECAST
10,7 233
TIERCE
10,7,1 1,404
TRIO
1,7,10 332
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 1,377
QUARTET
10,7,1,12 17,608
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/7 82
12/10 210
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,7,10 37,004