沙田 · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
第 7場
2024-04-14沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的LO PAN SPIRIT勝出，贏出N。AWESOME TREASURE獲得亞軍；SUPER HIGHWAY獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門LUCKY TOUCH跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT B1 1.09.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 38.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | AWESOME TREASURE TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | NEW POWER H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 1.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 8.3 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER GLORY B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER CHARIZZARD B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 11 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | GOLDEN RISE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | CIRCUIT TEN H/P1/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 12 | 86.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | DEEP PURSUIT H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 99.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | MR ENERGIA H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 9 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 18.4% | 5.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH | 14.8% | 6.77 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | MR ENERGIA | 13.6% | 7.34 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS | 10.2% | 9.76 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLDEN RISE | 10.0% | 10.02 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | NEW POWER | 8.9% | 11.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | AWESOME TREASURE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.02 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER GLORY | 4.3% | 22.99 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 3.7% | 26.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | CIRCUIT TEN | 2.9% | 34.91 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | DEEP PURSUIT | 1.6% | 61.34 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 381
PLACE
3 20
6 85
9 27.5
QUINELLA
6,9 1,684
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 394.5
3,9 87.5
6,9 424.5
FORECAST
6,9 3,774
TIERCE
6,9,3 18,865
TRIO
3,6,9 2,221
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 2,192
QUARTET
6,9,3,12 68,261
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/3,6,9 1,101,746
6TH DOUBLE
6/6 1,829
6/9 122
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,12/6,11,12/Any Combination 141,316