沙田 · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
第 6場
2024-04-14沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的METRO WARRIOR勝出，贏出NOSE。YODA'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；GLORIOUS EXPERT獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門KA YING WARRIOR跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR CP-/B2 0.56.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 13 | 7.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE CP-/PC1/TT1 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H-/P- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 30.0 | SH |
| 4 | 14 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GREAT MASTER H-/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 95.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 136.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BOWSER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HELLS BELLS XB-/SR/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 3 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | BROTHER CHENG XB1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 11 | 71.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 136.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN H1/TT1 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 58.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR | 41.6% | 2.41 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BOWSER | 11.0% | 9.06 | 10 |
| 3 | 14 | RUBY SAILING | 8.5% | 11.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 8.2% | 12.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.8% | 17.33 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 5.3% | 18.97 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 4.7% | 21.30 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 3.8% | 26.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN | 3.3% | 30.16 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | HELLS BELLS | 2.4% | 42.46 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | BROTHER CHENG | 1.9% | 53.51 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 1.3% | 75.81 | 3 |
| 13 | 10 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 1.2% | 83.73 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | THE GREAT MASTER | 1.1% | 89.24 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 75.5
PLACE
6 22
11 44
12 55.5
QUINELLA
6,11 656.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 172.5
6,12 203.5
11,12 534
FORECAST
6,11 1,049
TIERCE
6,11,12 22,519
TRIO
6,11,12 5,158
FIRST 4
6,11,12,14 7,294
QUARTET
6,11,12,14 169,792
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/6 281.5
5/11 87