Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. METRO WARRIOR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with YODA'S CHOICE second and GLORIOUS EXPERT third. The 1.9 favourite KA YING WARRIOR finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR CP-/B2 0.56.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 13 | 7.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE CP-/PC1/TT1 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H-/P- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 30.0 | SH |
| 4 | 14 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GREAT MASTER H-/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 95.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 136.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BOWSER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HELLS BELLS XB-/SR/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 3 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | BROTHER CHENG XB1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 11 | 71.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 136.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN H1/TT1 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 58.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR | 41.6% | 2.41 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BOWSER | 11.0% | 9.06 | 10 |
| 3 | 14 | RUBY SAILING | 8.5% | 11.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 8.2% | 12.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.8% | 17.33 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 5.3% | 18.97 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 4.7% | 21.30 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 3.8% | 26.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN | 3.3% | 30.16 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | HELLS BELLS | 2.4% | 42.46 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | BROTHER CHENG | 1.9% | 53.51 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 1.3% | 75.81 | 3 |
| 13 | 10 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 1.2% | 83.73 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | THE GREAT MASTER | 1.1% | 89.24 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 75.5
PLACE
6 22
11 44
12 55.5
QUINELLA
6,11 656.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 172.5
6,12 203.5
11,12 534
FORECAST
6,11 1,049
TIERCE
6,11,12 22,519
TRIO
6,11,12 5,158
FIRST 4
6,11,12,14 7,294
QUARTET
6,11,12,14 169,792
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/6 281.5
5/11 87