Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 06:32
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING MILES, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with LUCY IN THE SKY second and HAYDAY third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING MILES 1.09.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 10 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCY IN THE SKY H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | HAYDAY P-/H/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ENJOY GOLF C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TALENTS SUPREMO TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 7 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | FUN N GLORY TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE B1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 6 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ACE ONE V-/B2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 2 | 30.0 | 9 |
| — | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING MILES | 22.4% | 4.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ENJOY GOLF | 13.2% | 7.60 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 10.3% | 9.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | FUN N GLORY | 9.2% | 10.91 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 9.0% | 11.06 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 8.6% | 11.60 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 8.1% | 12.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | HAYDAY | 7.9% | 12.64 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | GLORY ELITE | 5.8% | 17.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 4.1% | 24.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ACE ONE | 1.4% | 70.91 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 23
PLACE
5 10.1
6 26
12 35
QUINELLA
5,6 106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 47.5
5,12 54.5
6,12 189.5
FORECAST
5,6 167
TIERCE
5,6,12 1,321
TRIO
5,6,12 388
FIRST 4
5,6,9,12 515
QUARTET
5,6,12,9 6,437
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
9/3/5 229
9/3/6 210
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/5,6,12 2,435
4TH DOUBLE
3/5 65
3/6 44