Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BABY CRYSTAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with STELLAR EXPRESS second and CHEVAL VALIANT third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT 0.55.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP1 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | JOLLY RULER TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPERSONIC XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 7 | 78.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BULB EMPEROR B1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | TELECOM POWER H1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 98.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 41.6% | 2.40 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BABY CRYSTAL | 14.7% | 6.80 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 12.8% | 7.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 7.4% | 13.48 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.3% | 18.75 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | BULB EMPEROR | 5.3% | 18.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING HIGH | 4.9% | 20.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | JOLLY RULER | 4.4% | 22.86 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | TELECOM POWER | 2.9% | 34.31 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPERSONIC | 0.6% | 166.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 27.5
PLACE
3 11.5
4 12.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
3,4 34
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 18
3,10 28.5
4,10 36.5
FORECAST
3,4 68
TIERCE
3,4,10 258
TRIO
3,4,10 67
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 85
QUARTET
3,4,10,5 906
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 84
9/4 16