Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 13:32
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | TOP PEAK Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | DARING PURSUIT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | SMART FOLKS H-/B/SR B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 13 | 59.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GREAT SPIRIT Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 8.9 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | MIU FA FA Led early TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KYEEMA H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 14 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | PACKING BRILLIANT Closed strongly CP1/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY H-/CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | HOLY POWER Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 37.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD GOOD Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | TELECOM BULLET B1/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 191.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SAVVY ELEGANCE H-/P-/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 152.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING GOLD, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 2-3/4, with TOP PEAK second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite YOUNG HORIZON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON | 47.6% | 2.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | WINNING GOLD | 10.6% | 9.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | GREAT SPIRIT | 9.6% | 10.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | DARING PURSUIT | 7.0% | 14.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | GOOD GOOD | 5.5% | 18.04 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | MIU FA FA | 3.7% | 27.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY | 3.7% | 27.28 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 3.6% | 27.71 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | HOLY POWER | 2.6% | 38.54 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | KYEEMA | 2.3% | 43.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | TOP PEAK | 1.9% | 52.12 | 2 |
| 12 | 14 | SMART FOLKS | 1.1% | 87.21 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | TELECOM BULLET | 0.4% | 232.81 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SAVVY ELEGANCE | 0.3% | 328.83 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 43
PLACE
9 16
10 45.5
13 13
QUINELLA
9,10 505.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 145.5
9,13 26
10,13 93.5
FORECAST
9,10 883
TIERCE
9,10,13 2,670
TRIO
9,10,13 286
FIRST 4
1,9,10,13 621
QUARTET
9,10,13,1 17,021
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/9,10,13 1,118,954
2ND DOUBLE
7/9 3,192.5
7/10 3,013.5