Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 09:49
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HOLY LAKE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with STAR CONTACT second and FRANTANCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite SUNSTRIDER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HOLY LAKE Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 72.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | FRANTANCK Led early Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 14 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B- A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 8 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | WINNING DATA B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | LOYAL BO BO SR K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | ACCOLADE START Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | BEATO Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 88.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | HUGE WAVE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 13 | 45.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | SUMMIT IMPACT CP/TT- B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 221.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 5.9 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LOYAL BO BO | 19.0% | 5.26 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNSTRIDER | 18.1% | 5.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | WINNING DATA | 14.4% | 6.94 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | HOLY LAKE | 9.0% | 11.12 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 8.6% | 11.59 | 14 |
| 6 | 1 | FRANTANCK | 8.0% | 12.42 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | BEATO | 7.3% | 13.74 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | TALENTS AMBITION | 4.4% | 22.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS | 3.6% | 27.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | STAR CONTACT | 3.1% | 32.44 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | HUGE WAVE | 2.3% | 43.95 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | ACCOLADE START | 1.2% | 86.21 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 0.6% | 176.42 | 11 |
| 14 | 4 | SUMMIT IMPACT | 0.5% | 220.69 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 88
PLACE
1 36
5 24.5
6 130.5
QUINELLA
5,6 2,260
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 135.5
1,6 807.5
5,6 576
FORECAST
5,6 3,869
TIERCE
5,6,1 34,657
TRIO
1,5,6 7,677
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 6,478
QUARTET
5,6,1,9 196,665
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/5 645
10/6 928.5
2ND TREBLE
8/10/5 5,814
8/10/6 9,513
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/1,5,6 2,608,855
SIX UP
6/6/6/8/10/5 2,284,774
6,11/6,9/4,6,8/3,8/2,10/5,6 56,184
9 [D A Hayes] —
4 [C Y Ho] —