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Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 16:38

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly B-/TT1 1.21.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So 8 9.1 1-3/4
2 3 TOP SCORER Led early Z Purton · J Size 6 2.2 1-3/4
3 9 SKY TRUST B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 8.2 2-1/2
4 6 CALL ME SUPREME Closed strongly B1/TT1 H Bowman · C W Chang 14 20.0 4
5 13 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly CP-/B2 M F Poon · P F Yiu 9 114.0 4
6 12 ACA POWER Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall 11 36.0 4-1/4
7 4 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB H Bentley · P C Ng 1 19.0 5-1/4
8 5 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man 13 30.0 6-3/4
9 11 TRAVEL GOLF M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 32.0 7
10 10 YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 3 111.0 7-1/4
11 14 YOUTH POWER TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 129.0 7-1/2
12 2 THE ABSOLUTE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 12 3.6 8-1/4
13 7 NEVER PETER OUT B/TT1 K Teetan · W K Mo 4 37.0 9-1/2
14 1 GOLDEN TITLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum 10 50.0 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. OWNERS' PRAISE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with TOP SCORER second and SKY TRUST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite TOP SCORER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. OWNERS' PRAISE—2. TOP SCORER+1.75L3. SKY TRUST+2.5L4. CALL ME SUPREME+4L5. JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP+4L6. ACA POWER+4.25L7. JUMBO FORTUNE+5.25L8. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+6.75L9. TRAVEL GOLF+7L10. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TOP SCORER (27.0%) finished 2nd — the winner OWNERS' PRAISE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 TOP SCORER 27.0% 3.71 2
2 2 THE ABSOLUTE 11.7% 8.58 12
3 9 SKY TRUST 10.0% 10.00 3
4 4 JUMBO FORTUNE 8.6% 11.69 7
5 11 TRAVEL GOLF 7.3% 13.64 9
6 8 OWNERS' PRAISE 6.8% 14.80 1
7 12 ACA POWER 5.9% 16.83 6
8 5 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 5.9% 17.06 8
9 6 CALL ME SUPREME 5.5% 18.16 4
10 7 NEVER PETER OUT 3.9% 25.68 13
11 10 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 2.7% 37.68 10
12 13 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 2.4% 40.92 5
13 14 YOUTH POWER 1.3% 75.06 11
14 1 GOLDEN TITLE 1.1% 90.36 14
TOP SCORERTHE ABSOLUTESKY TRUSTJUMBO FORTUNETRAVEL GOLFOWNERS' PRAISE — wonACA POWERCIRCUIT MIGHTYCALL ME SUPREMENEVER PETER OUTYEE CHEONG RAIDERJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPYOUTH POWERGOLDEN TITLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 91

PLACE

3 11.5

8 26.5

9 21.5

QUINELLA

3,8 111

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 42.5

3,9 35

8,9 98

FORECAST

8,3 329

TIERCE

8,3,9 1,752

TRIO

3,8,9 203

FIRST 4

3,6,8,9 525

QUARTET

8,3,9,6 16,812

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3>4,6,8/3,8,9 2,003

8TH DOUBLE

6/3 16

6/8 302